Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
155 Coastal Carolina 100.0%   16   20 - 9 12 - 6 20 - 9 12 - 6 +0.5      +0.2 155 +0.2 155 64.6 217 +0.8 151 -1.7 5
161 High Point 0.0%   19 - 9 13 - 5 19 - 9 13 - 5 0.0      0.0 161 0.0 161 61.9 280 +2.4 134 +1.0 1
186 Winthrop 0.0%   16 - 13 12 - 6 16 - 13 12 - 6 -1.4      -0.7 186 -0.7 186 68.6 116 -3.6 231 -1.5 4
200 Radford 0.0%   18 - 11 12 - 6 18 - 11 12 - 6 -1.9      -1.0 200 -1.0 200 65.6 185 -0.4 166 -1.1 3
204 Charleston Southern 0.0%   16 - 11 13 - 5 16 - 11 13 - 5 -2.1      -1.1 204 -1.1 204 68.0 130 -1.0 182 +0.6 2
227 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 14 10 - 8 -3.4      -1.7 227 -1.7 227 72.1 48 -1.0 180 -2.9 6
247 UNC Asheville 0.0%   12 - 16 10 - 8 12 - 16 10 - 8 -4.8      -2.4 247 -2.4 247 73.7 28 -5.1 252 -3.3 7
307 Campbell 0.0%   7 - 22 4 - 14 7 - 22 4 - 14 -8.5      -4.3 307 -4.3 307 59.8 313 -10.5 318 -12.5 10
315 Longwood 0.0%   9 - 23 5 - 13 9 - 23 5 - 13 -9.6      -4.8 315 -4.8 315 71.1 62 -9.5 312 -10.9 9
327 Presbyterian 0.0%   6 - 22 6 - 12 6 - 22 6 - 12 -11.7      -5.9 327 -5.9 327 61.9 277 -11.6 325 -8.8 8
337 Liberty 0.0%   4 - 24 2 - 16 4 - 24 2 - 16 -13.2      -6.6 337 -6.6 337 69.0 106 -15.2 341 -17.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Coastal Carolina 3.0 100.0
High Point 1.0 100.0
Winthrop 3.0 100.0
Radford 3.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 1.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 6.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 6.0 100.0
Campbell 10.0 100.0
Longwood 9.0 100.0
Presbyterian 8.0 100.0
Liberty 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Coastal Carolina 12 - 6 100.0
High Point 13 - 5 100.0
Winthrop 12 - 6 100.0
Radford 12 - 6 100.0
Charleston Southern 13 - 5 100.0
Gardner-Webb 10 - 8 100.0
UNC Asheville 10 - 8 100.0
Campbell 4 - 14 100.0
Longwood 5 - 13 100.0
Presbyterian 6 - 12 100.0
Liberty 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Coastal Carolina
High Point 100.0% 100.0
Winthrop
Radford
Charleston Southern 100.0% 100.0
Gardner-Webb
UNC Asheville
Campbell
Longwood
Presbyterian
Liberty


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Coastal Carolina 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 2.2 28.0 69.7
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Coastal Carolina 100.0% 20.8% 90.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 90.3% 0.9 9.7 90.3
2nd Round 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0